Host gene expression signatures to identify infection type and organ dysfunction in children evaluated for sepsis: a multicentre cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Sepsis is defined as dysregulated host response to infection that leads to life-threatening organ dysfunction. Biomarkers characterising the dysregulated host response in sepsis are lacking. We aimed to develop host gene expression signatures to predict organ dysfunction in children with bacterial or viral infection. METHODS: This cohort study was done in emergency departments and intensive care units of four hospitals in Queensland, Australia, and recruited children aged 1 month to 17 years who, upon admission, underwent a diagnostic test, including blood cultures, for suspected sepsis. Whole-blood RNA sequencing of blood was performed with Illumina NovaSeq (San Diego, CA, USA). Samples with completed phenotyping, monitoring, and RNA extraction by March 31, 2020, were included in the discovery cohort; samples collected or completed thereafter and by Oct 27, 2021, constituted the Rapid Paediatric Infection Diagnosis in Sepsis (RAPIDS) internal validation cohort. An external validation cohort was assembled from RNA sequencing gene expression count data from the observational European Childhood Life-threatening Infectious Disease Study (EUCLIDS), which recruited children with severe infection in nine European countries between 2012 and 2016. Feature selection approaches were applied to derive novel gene signatures for disease class (bacterial vs viral infection) and disease severity (presence vs absence of organ dysfunction 24 h post-sampling). The primary endpoint was the presence of organ dysfunction 24 h after blood sampling in the presence of confirmed bacterial versus viral infection. Gene signature performance is reported as area under the receiver operating characteristic curves (AUCs) and 95% CI. FINDINGS: Between Sept 25, 2017, and Oct 27, 2021, 907 patients were enrolled. Blood samples from 595 patients were included in the discovery cohort, and samples from 312 children were included in the RAPIDS validation cohort. We derived a ten-gene disease class signature that achieved an AUC of 94·1% (95% CI 90·6-97·7) in distinguishing bacterial from viral infections in the RAPIDS validation cohort. A ten-gene disease severity signature achieved an AUC of 82·2% (95% CI 76·3-88·1) in predicting organ dysfunction within 24 h of sampling in the RAPIDS validation cohort. Used in tandem, the disease class and disease severity signatures predicted organ dysfunction within 24 h of sampling with an AUC of 90·5% (95% CI 83·3-97·6) for patients with predicted bacterial infection and 94·7% (87·8-100·0) for patients with predicted viral infection. In the external EUCLIDS validation dataset (n=362), the disease class and disease severity predicted organ dysfunction at time of sampling with an AUC of 70·1% (95% CI 44·1-96·2) for patients with predicted bacterial infection and 69·6% (53·1-86·0) for patients with predicted viral infection. INTERPRETATION: In children evaluated for sepsis, novel host transcriptomic signatures specific for bacterial and viral infection can identify dysregulated host response leading to organ dysfunction. FUNDING: Australian Government Medical Research Future Fund Genomic Health Futures Mission, Children's Hospital Foundation Queensland, Brisbane Diamantina Health Partners, Emergency Medicine Foundation, Gold Coast Hospital Foundation, Far North Queensland Foundation, Townsville Hospital and Health Services SERTA Grant, and Australian Infectious Diseases Research Centre.

Defining woman-centred care: A concept analysis.

PROBLEM: In midwifery a shared definition of woman-centred care is lacking, and this remains an identified gap in the evidence underpinning midwifery practice. BACKGROUND: Woman-centred care is an underpinning philosophy used in midwifery practice both nationally and internationally. AIM: To analyse the practice of woman-centred care to clarify its meaning and comprehension and subsequently advance an evidence-based definition of the concept. METHODS: Using an adapted theoretical and colloquial evolutionary model a three-stage concept analysis was conducted to identify attributes, antecedents, and consequences of woman-centred care and subsequently construct an evidence-based, internationally informed definition. FINDINGS: Antecedents of woman-centred care are education, models of care and midwife characteristics. Attributes are choice and control, empowerment, and relationships. Consequences are shared and informed decision making which supports the woman in navigating complex health systems, and improved health outcomes. Whilst important to midwifery practice and midwifery-led models of care, continuity of care is not a core essential element of woman-centred care. DISCUSSION: Analysis, synthesis, and re-examination of the data on woman-centred care facilitated deep immersion, exploration and clarification of this concept that underpins midwifery philosophy and practice. The constructed definition can be used to inform health policy, midwifery research, education, and clinical practice. CONCLUSION: An evidence-based definition of woman-centred care is necessary for conversion of this essential concept to practice. Regardless of model of care all women should receive woman-centre care improving the health outcomes of both the woman and neonate.

Assessing the impact of risk-based data monitoring on outcomes for a paediatric multicentre randomised controlled trial.

BACKGROUND/AIMS: Regulatory guidelines recommend that sponsors develop a risk-based approach to monitoring clinical trials. However, there is a lack of evidence to guide the effective implementation of monitoring activities encompassed in this approach. The aim of this study was to assess the efficiency and impact of the risk-based monitoring approach used for a multicentre randomised controlled trial comparing treatments in paediatric patients undergoing cardiac bypass surgery. METHODS: This is a secondary analysis of data from a randomised controlled trial that implemented targeted source data verification as part of the risk-based monitoring approach. Monitoring duration and source to database error rates were calculated across the monitored trial dataset. The monitored and unmonitored trial dataset, and simulated trial datasets with differing degrees of source data verification and cohort sizes were compared for their effect on trial outcomes. RESULTS: In total, 106,749 critical data points across 1,282 participants were verified from source data either remotely or on-site during the trial. The total time spent monitoring was 365 hours, with a median (interquartile range) of 10 (7, 16) minutes per participant. An overall source to database error rate of 3.1% was found, and this did not differ between treatment groups. A low rate of error was found for all outcomes undergoing 100% source data verification, with the exception of two secondary outcomes with error rates >10%. Minimal variation in trial outcomes were found between the unmonitored and monitored datasets. Reduced degrees of source data verification and reduced cohort sizes assessed using simulated trial datasets had minimal impact on trial outcomes. CONCLUSIONS: Targeted source data verification of data critical to trial outcomes, which carried with it a substantial time investment, did not have an impact on study outcomes in this trial. This evaluation of the cost-effectiveness of targeted source data verification contributes to the evidence-base regarding the context where reduced emphasis should be placed on source data verification as the foremost monitoring activity.

REstrictive versus StandarD FlUid Management in Mechanically Ventilated ChildrEn Admitted to PICU: study protocol for a pilot randomised controlled trial (REDUCE-1).

INTRODUCTION: Intravenous fluid therapy is the most common intervention in critically ill children. There is an increasing body of evidence questioning the safety of high-volume intravenous fluid administration in these patients. To date, the optimal fluid management strategy remains unclear. We aimed to test the feasibility of a pragmatic randomised controlled trial comparing a restrictive with a standard (liberal) fluid management strategy in critically ill children. METHODS AND ANALYSIS: Multicentre, binational pilot, randomised, controlled, open-label, pragmatic trial. Patients <18 years admitted to paediatric intensive care unit and mechanically ventilated at the time of screening are eligible. Patients with tumour lysis syndrome, diabetic ketoacidosis or postorgan transplant are excluded. INTERVENTIONS: 1:1 random assignment of 154 individual patients into two groups-restrictive versus standard, liberal, fluid strategy-stratified by primary diagnosis (cardiac/non-cardiac). The intervention consists of a restrictive fluid bundle, including lower maintenance fluid allowance, limiting fluid boluses, reducing volumes of drug delivery and initiating diuretics or peritoneal dialysis earlier. The intervention is applied for 48 hours postrandomisation or until discharge (whichever is earlier). ENDPOINTS: The number of patients recruited per month and proportion of recruited to eligible patients are feasibility endpoints. New-onset acute kidney injury and the incidence of clinically relevant central venous thrombosis are safety endpoints. Fluid balance at 48 hours after randomisation is the efficacy endpoint. Survival free of paediatric intensive care censored at 28 days is the clinical endpoint. ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION: Ethics approval was gained from the Children's Health Queensland Human Research Ethics Committee (HREC/21/QCHQ/77514, date: 1 September 2021), and University of Zurich (2021-02447, date: 17 March 2023). The trial is registered with the Australia New Zealand Clinical Trials Registry (ACTRN12621001311842). Open-access publication in high impact peer-reviewed journals will be sought. Modern information dissemination strategies will also be used including social media to disseminate the outcomes of the study. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: ACTRN12621001311842. PROTOCOL VERSION/DATE: V5/23 May 2023.

Perioperative dexmedetomidine compared to midazolam in children undergoing open-heart surgery: A pilot randomised controlled trial.

Objective: There is a need for evidence on the best sedative agents in children undergoing open heart surgery for congenital heart disease. This study aimed to evaluate the feasibility and safety of dexmedetomidine in this group compared with midazolam. Design: Double blinded, pilot randomized controlled trial. Setting: Cardiac operating theatre and paediatric intensive care unit in Brisbane, Australia. Participants: Infants (≤12 months of age) undergoing their first surgical repair of a congenital heart defect. Interventions: Dexmedetomidine (up to 1.0mcg/kg/hr) versus midazolam (up to 80mcg/kg/hr), commenced in the cardiac operating theatre prior to surgery. Main outcome measures: The primary outcome was the time spent in light sedation (Sedation Behavior Scale [SBS] -1 to +1); Co-primary feasibility outcome was recruitment, retention and protocol adherence. Secondary outcomes were use of supplemental sedatives, ventilator free days, delirium, vasoactive drug support, and adverse events. Neurodevelopment and health-related quality of life (HRQoL) were assessed at 12 months post-surgery. Results: Sixty-six participants were recruited. The number of SBS scores in the light sedation range were greater in the dexmedetomidine group at 24 hours, 48 hours, and overall study duration (0-14 days) versus the midazolam group (24hr: 76/170 [45%] vs 60/178 [34%], aOR 4.14 [95% CI 0.48, 35.92]; 48hr: 154/298 [52%] vs 122/314 [39%], aOR 6.95 [95% CI 0.77, 63.13]; 0-14 days: 597/831 [72%] vs 527/939 [56%], aOR 3.93 [95% CI 0.62, 25.03]). Feasibility was established with no withdrawals or loss to follow-up at 14 days and minimal protocol deviations. There were no differences between the groups relating to clinical, safety, neurodevelopment or HRQoL outcomes. Conclusions: The use of dexmedetomidine was associated with more time spent in light sedation when compared with midazolam. The feasibility of conducting a blinded RCT of midazolam and dexmedetomidine in children undergoing open heart surgery was also established. The findings justify further investigation in a larger trial. Clinical trial registration: ACTRN12615001304527.

Longitudinal cohort study investigating neurodevelopmental and socioemotional outcomes in school-entry aged children after open heart surgery in Australia and New Zealand: the NITRIC follow-up study protocol.

INTRODUCTION: Despite growing awareness of neurodevelopmental impairments in children with congenital heart disease (CHD), there is a lack of large, longitudinal, population-based cohorts. Little is known about the contemporary neurodevelopmental profile and the emergence of specific impairments in children with CHD entering school. The performance of standardised screening tools to predict neurodevelopmental outcomes at school age in this high-risk population remains poorly understood. The NITric oxide during cardiopulmonary bypass to improve Recovery in Infants with Congenital heart defects (NITRIC) trial randomised 1371 children <2 years of age, investigating the effect of gaseous nitric oxide applied into the cardiopulmonary bypass oxygenator during heart surgery. The NITRIC follow-up study will follow this cohort annually until 5 years of age to assess outcomes related to cognition and socioemotional behaviour at school entry, identify risk factors for adverse outcomes and evaluate the performance of screening tools. METHODS AND ANALYSIS: Approximately 1150 children from the NITRIC trial across five sites in Australia and New Zealand will be eligible. Follow-up assessments will occur in two stages: (1) annual online screening of global neurodevelopment, socioemotional and executive functioning, health-related quality of life and parenting stress at ages 2-5 years; and (2) face-to-face assessment at age 5 years assessing intellectual ability, attention, memory and processing speed; fine motor skills; language and communication; and socioemotional outcomes. Cognitive and socioemotional outcomes and trajectories of neurodevelopment will be described and demographic, clinical, genetic and environmental predictors of these outcomes will be explored. ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION: Ethical approval has been obtained from the Children's Health Queensland (HREC/20/QCHQ/70626) and New Zealand Health and Disability (21/NTA/83) Research Ethics Committees. The findings will inform the development of clinical decision tools and improve preventative and intervention strategies in children with CHD. Dissemination of the outcomes of the study is expected via publications in peer-reviewed journals, presentation at conferences, via social media, podcast presentations and medical education resources, and through CHD family partners. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: The trial was prospectively registered with the Australian New Zealand Clinical Trials Registry as 'Gene Expression to Predict Long-Term Neurodevelopmental Outcome in Infants from the NITric oxide during cardiopulmonary bypass to improve Recovery in Infants with Congenital heart defects (NITRIC) Study - A Multicentre Prospective Trial'. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ACTRN12621000904875.

Achieving international consensus on the concept of woman-centred care: A Delphi study.

PROBLEM: There is no internationally-informed understanding of how midwives perceive woman-centred care and use it in practice. BACKGROUND: Woman-centred care is integral to the role of the midwife and to determining standards of practice. Few empirical studies have explored the meaning of woman-centred care, and those that have are limited to country specific research. AIM: To gain an in-depth understanding and consensus on the concept of woman-centred care from an international perspective. METHODS: A three round Delphi study was conducted, with surveys distributed online to a group of international expert midwives to draw consensus on the topic of woman-centred care. FINDINGS: A panel of 59 expert midwives representing 22 countries participated. Fifty-nine statements about woman-centred care, of which 63% of statements reached the 75% a priori agreement level, were developed and categorised under four emergent themes: defining characteristics of woman-centred care (n = 17), the role of the midwife in woman-centred care (n = 19), woman-centred care and systems of care (n = 18), woman-centred care in education and research (n = 5). DISCUSSION: Participants agreed that woman-centred care should be provided by any health care professional in any health care setting. Systems of maternity care should provide holistic care tailored for the individual woman rather than subject her to routine practices and policies. Although continuity of care is important to midwifery practice, it was not reported as a core characteristic of woman-centred care. CONCLUSION: This is the first study to investigate the concept of woman-centred care as it is experienced globally by midwives. The findings of this study will be used to contribute to the development of an internationally informed evidence-based definition of woman-centred care.

Adaptive Clinical Trials in Pediatric Critical Care: A Systematic Review.

OBJECTIVES: This systematic review investigates the use of adaptive designs in randomized controlled trials (RCTs) in pediatric critical care. DATA SOURCES: PICU RCTs, published between 1986 and 2020, stored in the www.PICUtrials.net database and MEDLINE, EMBASE, CENTRAL, and LILACS databases were searched (March 9, 2022) to identify RCTs published in 2021. PICU RCTs using adaptive designs were identified through an automated full-text screening algorithm. STUDY SELECTION: All RCTs involving children (< 18 yr old) cared for in a PICU were included. There were no restrictions to disease cohort, intervention, or outcome. Interim monitoring by a Data and Safety Monitoring Board that was not prespecified to change the trial design or implementation of the study was not considered adaptive. DATA EXTRACTION: We extracted the type of adaptive design, the justification for the design, and the stopping rule used. Characteristics of the trial were also extracted, and the results summarized through narrative synthesis. Risk of bias was assessed using the Cochrane Risk of Bias Tool 2. DATA SYNTHESIS: Sixteen of 528 PICU RCTs (3%) used adaptive designs with two types of adaptations used; group sequential design and sample size reestimation. Of the 11 trials that used a group sequential adaptive design, seven stopped early due to futility and one stopped early due to efficacy. Of the seven trials that performed a sample size reestimation, the estimated sample size decreased in three trials and increased in one trial. CONCLUSIONS: Little evidence of the use of adaptive designs was found, with only 3% of PICU RCTs incorporating an adaptive design and only two types of adaptations used. Identifying the barriers to adoption of more complex adaptive trial designs is needed.

Effect of Saline vs Gluconate/Acetate-Buffered Solution vs Lactate-Buffered Solution on Serum Chloride Among Children in the Pediatric Intensive Care Unit: The SPLYT-P Randomized Clinical Trial.

Importance: Most children admitted to pediatric intensive care units (PICUs) receive intravenous fluids. A recent systematic review suggested mortality benefit in critically ill adults treated with balanced solutions compared with sodium chloride, 0.9% (saline). There is a lack of clinically directive data on optimal fluid choice in critically ill children. Objective: To determine if balanced solutions decrease the rise of plasma chloride compared with saline, 0.9%, in critically ill children. Design, Setting, and Participants: This single-center, 3-arm, open-label randomized clinical trial took place in a 36-bed PICU. Children younger than 16 years admitted to the PICU and considered to require intravenous fluid therapy by the treating clinician were eligible. Children were screened from November 2019 to April 2021. Interventions: Enrolled children were 1:1:1 allocated to gluconate/acetate-buffered solution, lactate-buffered solution, or saline as intravenous fluids. Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary outcome was an increase in serum chloride of 5 mEq/L or more within 48 hours from randomization. New-onset acute kidney injury, length of hospital and intensive care stay, and intensive care-free survival were secondary outcomes. Results: A total of 516 patients with a median (IQR) age of 3.8 (1.0-10.4) years were randomized with 178, 171, and 167 allocated to gluconate/acetate-buffered solution, lactate-buffered solution, and saline, respectively. The serum chloride level increased 5 mEq/L or more in 37 patients (25.2%), 34 patients (23.9%), and 58 patients (40.0%) in the gluconate/acetate-buffered solution, lactate-buffered solution, and saline groups. The odds of a rise in plasma chloride 5 mEq/L or more was halved with the use of gluconate/acetate-buffered solution compared with saline (odds ratio, 0.50 [95% CI, 0.31-0.83]; P = .007) and with the use of lactate-buffered solution compared with saline (odds ratio, 0.47 [95% CI, 0.28-0.79]; P = .004). New-onset acute kidney injury was observed in 10 patients (6.1%), 6 patients (3.7%), and 5 patients (3.2%) in the gluconate/acetate-buffered solution, lactate-buffered solution, and saline groups, respectively. Conclusions and Relevance: Balanced solutions (gluconate/acetate-buffered solution and lactate-buffered solution) administered as intravenous fluid therapy reduced the incidence of rise in plasma chloride compared with saline in children in PICU. Trial Registration: anzctr.org.au Identifier: ACTRN12619001244190.

Effect of Nitric Oxide via Cardiopulmonary Bypass on Ventilator-Free Days in Young Children Undergoing Congenital Heart Disease Surgery: The NITRIC Randomized Clinical Trial.

Importance: In children undergoing heart surgery, nitric oxide administered into the gas flow of the cardiopulmonary bypass oxygenator may reduce postoperative low cardiac output syndrome, leading to improved recovery and shorter duration of respiratory support. It remains uncertain whether nitric oxide administered into the cardiopulmonary bypass oxygenator improves ventilator-free days (days alive and free from mechanical ventilation). Objective: To determine the effect of nitric oxide applied into the cardiopulmonary bypass oxygenator vs standard care on ventilator-free days in children undergoing surgery for congenital heart disease. Design, Setting, and Participants: Double-blind, multicenter, randomized clinical trial in 6 pediatric cardiac surgical centers in Australia, New Zealand, and the Netherlands. A total of 1371 children younger than 2 years undergoing congenital heart surgery were randomized between July 2017 and April 2021, with 28-day follow-up of the last participant completed on May 24, 2021. Interventions: Patients were assigned to receive nitric oxide at 20 ppm delivered into the cardiopulmonary bypass oxygenator (n = 679) or standard care cardiopulmonary bypass without nitric oxide (n = 685). Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary end point was the number of ventilator-free days from commencement of bypass until day 28. There were 4 secondary end points including a composite of low cardiac output syndrome, extracorporeal life support, or death; length of stay in the intensive care unit; length of stay in the hospital; and postoperative troponin levels. Results: Among 1371 patients who were randomized (mean [SD] age, 21.2 [23.5] weeks; 587 girls [42.8%]), 1364 (99.5%) completed the trial. The number of ventilator-free days did not differ significantly between the nitric oxide and standard care groups, with a median of 26.6 days (IQR, 24.4 to 27.4) vs 26.4 days (IQR, 24.0 to 27.2), respectively, for an absolute difference of -0.01 days (95% CI, -0.25 to 0.22; P = .92). A total of 22.5% of the nitric oxide group and 20.9% of the standard care group developed low cardiac output syndrome within 48 hours, needed extracorporeal support within 48 hours, or died by day 28, for an adjusted odds ratio of 1.12 (95% CI, 0.85 to 1.47). Other secondary outcomes were not significantly different between the groups. Conclusions and Relevance: In children younger than 2 years undergoing cardiopulmonary bypass surgery for congenital heart disease, the use of nitric oxide via cardiopulmonary bypass did not significantly affect the number of ventilator-free days. These findings do not support the use of nitric oxide delivered into the cardiopulmonary bypass oxygenator during heart surgery. Trial Registration: anzctr.org.au Identifier: ACTRN12617000821392.

Research monitoring practices in critical care research: a survey of current state and attitudes.

BACKGROUND/AIMS: In 2016, international standards governing clinical research recommended that the approach to monitoring a research project should be undertaken based on risk, however it is unknown whether this approach has been adopted in Australia and New Zealand (ANZ) throughout critical care research. The aims of the project were to: 1) Gain an understanding of current research monitoring practices in academic-led clinical trials in the field of critical care research, 2) Describe the perceived barriers and enablers to undertaking research monitoring. METHODS: Electronic survey distributed to investigators, research co-ordinators and other research staff currently undertaking and supporting academic-led clinical trials in the field of critical care in ANZ. RESULTS: Of the 118 respondents, 70 were involved in the co-ordination of academic trials; the remaining results pertain to this sub-sample. Fifty-eight (83%) were working in research units associated with hospitals, 29 (41%) were experienced Research Coordinators and 19 (27%) Principal Investigators; 31 (44%) were primarily associated with paediatric research. Fifty-six (80%) develop monitoring plans with 33 (59%) of these undertaking a risk assessment; the most common barrier reported was lack of expertise. Nineteen (27%) indicated that centralised monitoring was used, noting that technology to support centralised monitoring (45/51; 88%) along with support from data managers and statisticians (45/52; 87%) were key enablers. Coronavirus disease-19 (COVID-19) impacted monitoring for 82% (45/55) by increasing remote (25/45; 56%) and reducing onsite (29/45; 64%) monitoring. CONCLUSIONS: Contrary to Good Clinical Practice guidance, risk assessments to inform monitoring plans are not being consistently performed due to lack of experience and guidance. There is an urgent need to enhance risk assessment methodologies and develop technological solutions for centralised statistical monitoring.

Prediction of large-for-gestational age infants in relation to hyperglycemia in pregnancy - A comparison of statistical models.

AIMS: Using data from a large multi-centre cohort, we aimed to create a risk prediction model for large-for-gestational age (LGA) infants, using both logistic regression and naïve Bayes approaches, and compare the utility of these two approaches. METHODS: We have compared the two techniques underpinning machine learning: logistic regression (LR) and naïve Bayes (NB) in terms of their ability to predict large-for-gestational age (LGA) infants. Using data from five centres involved in the Hyperglycemia and Adverse Pregnancy Outcome (HAPO) study, we developed LR and NB models and compared the predictive ability and stability between the models. Models were developed combining the risks of hyperglycaemia (assessed in three forms: IADPSG GDM yes/no, GDM subtype, OGTT z-score quintiles), demographic and clinical variables as potential predictors. RESULTS: The two approaches resulted in similar estimates of LGA risk (intraclass correlation coefficient 0.955, 95% CI 0.952, 0.958) however the AUROC for the LR model was significantly higher (0.698 vs 0.682; p < 0.001). When comparing the three LR models, use of individual OGTT z-score quintiles resulted in statistically higher AUROCs than the other two models. CONCLUSIONS: Logistic regression can be used with confidence to assess the relationship between clinical and biochemical variables and outcome.

Adapting fasting plasma glucose threshold for GDM diagnosis according to the population distribution - An approach to the Danish paradox.

AIMS: To examine third trimester fasting venous plasma glucose (FVPG) according to the distribution of a Danish population of pregnant women and identify potential local FVPG thresholds for GDM diagnosis related to risks of adverse pregnancy outcomes. METHODS: In the observational Odense Child Cohort (OCC) study, 1516 women had FVPG measured at 27-28 weeks' gestation and were considered normal by Danish criteria and remained untreated. Maternal FVPG from OCC were standardized according to the local FVPG mean and standard deviation calibrated to data from the Hyperglycemia and Adverse Pregnancy Outcome (HAPO) study. Associations between maternal FVPG and clinical and anthropometric outcomes were analysed. Potential FVPG cut points were identified. RESULTS: Unadjusted areas under the ROC curve for FVPG to discriminate for large for gestational age (LGA) and hypertensive disorders of pregnancy were 0.61 (95% CI 0.56, 0.67) and 0.57 (95% CI 0.52, 0.63), respectively. The Youden FVPG cut point for LGA was 5.5 mmol/L and 5.0 mmol/L for hypertensive disorders of pregnancy. CONCLUSIONS: This study identified a potential locally appropriate third trimester FVPG cut point between 5.5 and 5.7 mmol/L based on LGA risk in pregnancy. This cut point should be validated prospectively in other Danish cohorts.

Statistical analysis plan for the NITric oxide during cardiopulmonary bypass to improve Recovery in Infants with Congenital heart defects (NITRIC) trial.

Background: The NITric oxide during cardiopulmonary bypass (CPB) to improve Recovery in Infants with Congenital heart defects (NITRIC) trial, a 1320-patient, multicentre, randomised controlled trial, is aiming to improve survival free of ventilation after CPB by using nitric oxide delivered into the oxygenator of the CPB. Objective: To provide a statistical analysis plan before completion of patient recruitment and data monitoring. Final analyses for this study will adhere to this statistical analysis plan, which details all key pre-planned analyses. Stata scripts for analyses have been prepared alongside this statistical analysis plan. Methods: The statistical analysis plan was designed collaboratively by the chief investigators and trial statistician and builds on the previously published study protocol. All authors remain blinded to treatment allocation. Detail is provided on statistical analyses including cohort description, analysis of primary and secondary outcomes and adverse events. Statistical methods to compare outcomes are planned in detail to ensure methods are verifiable and reproducible. Results: The statistical analysis plan developed provides the trial outline, list of mock tables, and analysis scripts. The plan describes statistical analyses on cohort and baseline description, primary and secondary outcome analyses, process of care measures, physiological descriptors, and safety and adverse event reporting. We define the pre-specified subgroup analyses and the respective statistical tests used to compare subgroups. Conclusion: The statistical analysis plan for the NITRIC trial establishes detailed pre-planned analyses alongside Stata scripts to analyse the largest trial in the field of neonatal and paediatric heart surgery. The plan ensures standards for trial analysis validity aiming to minimise bias of analyses. Trial registration: ACTRN12617000821392.

Do variations in insulin sensitivity and insulin secretion in pregnancy predict differences in obstetric and neonatal outcomes?

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS: Gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM) is generally defined based on glycaemia during an OGTT, but aetiologically includes women with defects in insulin secretion, insulin sensitivity or a combination of both. In this observational study, we aimed to determine if underlying pathophysiological defects evaluated as continuous variables predict the risk of important obstetric and neonatal outcomes better than the previously used dichotomised or categorical approaches. METHODS: Using data from blinded OGTTs at mean gestational week 28 from five Hyperglycemia and Adverse Pregnancy Outcome study centres, we estimated insulin secretion (Stumvoll first phase) and sensitivity (Matsuda index) and their product (oral disposition index [DI]) in 6337 untreated women (1090 [17.2%] with GDM as defined by the International Association of Diabetes and Pregnancy Study Groups). Rather than dichotomising these variables (i.e. GDM yes/no) or subtyping by insulin impairment, we related insulin secretion and sensitivity as continuous variables, along with other maternal characteristics, to obstetric and neonatal outcomes using multiple regression and receiver operating characteristic curve analysis. RESULTS: Stratifying by GDM subtype offered superior prediction to GDM yes/no only for neonatal hyperinsulinaemia and pregnancy-related hypertension. Including the DI and the Matsuda score significantly increased the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) and improved prediction for multiple outcomes (large for gestational age [AUROC 0.632], neonatal adiposity [AUROC 0.630], pregnancy-related hypertension [AUROC 0.669] and neonatal hyperinsulinaemia [AUROC 0.688]). Neonatal hypoglycaemia was poorly predicted by all models. Combining the DI and the Matsuda score with maternal characteristics substantially improved the predictive power of the model for large for gestational age, neonatal adiposity and pregnancy-related hypertension. CONCLUSION/INTERPRETATION: Continuous measurement of insulin secretion and insulin sensitivity combined with basic clinical variables appeared to be superior to GDM (yes/no) or subtyping by insulin secretion and/or sensitivity impairment in predicting obstetric and neonatal outcomes in a multi-ethnic cohort. Graphical abstract.

Development of the Birthweight Appropriateness Quotient: A New Measure of Infant's Size.

INTRODUCTION: The customised birthweight model can be used to improve detection of babies that may be at risk of adverse outcomes associated with abnormal growth, however it is currently used in conjunction with either an intrauterine growth standard or the individualised birthweight ratio (IBR), both of which have significant methodological flaws. Our aim was to investigate the statistical validity of the IBR and attempt to develop a new measurement to represent the appropriateness of an infant's size at birth that will support clinicians in identifying infants requiring further attention. METHODS: Routinely collected hospital maternity and neonatal data on singleton, term births from a tertiary Australian hospital were extracted for the time period 1998-2009. The relationships between birthweight, customised birthweight and IBR are investigated using correlation, regression analysis and division of births into groups of < 2500 g, 2500-4000 g and > 4000 g. A new measure, the Birthweight Appropriateness Quotient (BAQ), is developed. The utility of the BAQ is compared with IBR and birthweight to identify infants with a composite neonatal morbidity outcome. RESULTS: Statistical flaws with the IBR due to significant correlation between birthweight and customised birthweight and a heterogenous relationship between these two measurements across the range of birthweight are present. BAQ is uncorrelated with birthweight. Comparison of BAQ and IBR as indicators of adverse neonatal outcome demonstrates that BAQ identifies babies at risk due to their small size and those babies at risk due to inappropriate size. CONCLUSIONS FOR PRACTICE: BAQ is a customised measurement of an infant's size free of the statistical flaws experienced by the IBR with the ability to identify at-risk infants.

Testing for gestational diabetes during the COVID-19 pandemic. An evaluation of proposed protocols for the United Kingdom, Canada and Australia.

AIMS: We assessed how altered diagnostic processes and criteria for gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM) recommended by the United Kingdom (UK), Canada and Australia for use during the COVID-19 pandemic would affect both GDM frequency and related adverse outcomes. METHODS: Secondary analysis of 5974 HAPO study women with singleton pregnancies who underwent 75 g OGTTs and HbA1c assays between 24 and 32 weeks' gestation and who received no treatment for GDM. RESULTS: All post COVID-19 modified pathways reduced GDM frequency - UK (81%), Canada (82%) and Australia (25%). Canadian women whose GDM would remain undetected post COVID-19 (missed GDMs) displayed similar rates of pregnancy complications to those with post COVID-19 GDM. Using UK modifications, the missed GDM group were at slightly lower risk whilst the women missed using the Australian modifications were at substantially lower risk. CONCLUSIONS: The modifications in GDM diagnosis proposed for the UK, Canada and Australia result in differing reductions of GDM frequency. Each has both potential benefits in terms of reduction in potential exposure to COVID-19 and costs in terms of missed opportunities to influence pregnancy and postpartum outcomes. These factors should be considered when deciding which protocol is most appropriate for a particular context.

Randomised clinical trial of group-based physiotherapy in extremely low birthweight children with minimal/mild motor impairment: A preliminary study.

AIM: Extremely low birthweight infants often present with mild neurodevelopmental impairments in gross motor function and postural stability in early childhood. The aim of the study was to undertake a randomised controlled trial to determine the short- and longer-term effects of group-based physiotherapy compared to standard care on performance in extremely low birthweight children with minimal/mild impairment. METHODS: Fifty children aged 4 years, born <28 weeks gestation and/or birthweight <1000 g with minimal/mild motor impairment were enrolled in a randomised controlled trial and randomly allocated to 6 weeks of group-based intervention (n = 24) or standard care (n = 26). The intervention consisted of a combination of traditional physiotherapy and task-oriented approaches of approximately 1 h in duration and varied according to each child's strengths and weaknesses. Baseline, post intervention and 1 year post baseline assessments included Movement Assessment Battery for Children-2 (MABC-2), single leg stance, lateral reach and long jump. RESULTS: Forty-eight (96%) children completed the study, which demonstrated no significant differences between the intervention and standard care groups on any of the assessments. Both groups improved initially from baseline to initial reassessment on the MABC-2 (P < 0.001). For both groups, however, MABC-2 manual dexterity, aiming/catching and total score declined from baseline to 1 year follow-up. However, for both groups, single leg stance and limb strength were significantly improved from baseline to 1 year follow-up. CONCLUSIONS: There were no differences in outcomes between groups. Both approaches may contribute to improved short-term performance and longer-term improvements on functional skills in extremely preterm children.

Reprint of "Development of a risk engine relating maternal glycemia and body mass index to pregnancy outcomes".

AIMS: To develop a risk "engine" or calculator, integrating the risks of hyperglycemia, maternal BMI and other basic demographic data commonly available at the time of the pregnancy oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT), to predict an individual's absolute risk of specific adverse pregnancy outcomes. METHODS: Data from the Brisbane HAPO cohort was analysed using logistic regression to determine the relationship between four clinical outcomes (primary CS, birth injury, large-for-gestational age, excess neonatal adiposity) with different combinations of OGTT results and maternal demographics (age, height, BMI, parity). Existing sets of international GDM diagnostic criteria were also applied to the cohort. RESULTS: 191 (15.3%) women were diagnosed as GDM by one or more existing criteria. All international criteria performed poorly compared to risk models utilising OGTT results only, or OGTT results in combination with maternal demographics. CONCLUSIONS: The risk engine's empirical performance on receiver - operator curve analysis was superior to the existing GDM diagnostic criteria tested. This concept shows promise for use in clinical practice, but further development is required.